SatEvo decay list #92 (issued 2000 January 30) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 March 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle, Starshine and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,000 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. With special interest in the decay of the Starshine satellite, I have a Starshine Decay Page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/starshine/ with my updated prediction for this object. # Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) ----- Predicted Actual? 1962 65- 82 GX OV2-1/LCS 2 deb January 15.96 25796 80- 89 CK Cosmos 1220 deb January 16.5 25663 94- 29 AEG STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 17 7842 72- 58 N Lndst 1 Delta 1 deb January 18.9 24240 94- 29 LP STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 19.5 24111 94- 29 FJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 21 26044 99- 73 C C 2368 Molniya plat January 22.22 7969 75- 56 B Cosmos 744 r January 22.70 24368 94- 29 PV STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 23 25950 99- 59 B Orion 2 Ariane 44LP r January 23 22346 92- 93 AK C 2227 Zenit deb January 23.6 24024 94- 29 BV STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 24 20759 90- 43 L Macsat Scout G-1 deb January 26 26055 99- 47 G Yamal 101 aux motor January 26? Note 4 13964 83- 25 A Molniya 1-57 January 26.83 16885 86- 57 A Molniya 1-67 January 27.62 Note 2 24388 94- 29 QR STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 29 Note 4 25220 87- 68 AX Meteor 2-16 deb January 30 25176 98- 11 B COMETS H2 r February 1 24614 94- 29 ZS STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 2 22702 93- 42 C GPS 2-21 Delta r2 February 4 24148 94- 29 GX STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 4 22890 83- 75 G Cosmos 1484 deb February 6 24331 94- 29 NG STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 7 26043 99- 73 B C 2368 Molniya-M r1 February 7 22822 93- 11 H Astro D M-3S2 deb February 8 3343 68- 66 E Explr 39 Scout deb February 10 9854 77- 15 B Cosmos 895 r February 18 24054 94- 29 DB STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 18 25911 99- 49 E Glblstar 33 Soyuz r February 19 17124 86- 19 U Spot 1 Ariane deb February 20 19304 61- 15 MD Transit 4A deb February 20 25769 99- 30 B Starshine February 21 24528 94- 29 WC STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 22 25752 99- 28 H USA 144 deb February 23 Note 3 23887 96- 34 F Gorizont 32 aux motor March 2 25947 99- 58 E Glblstar 31 Soyuz r March 6 22876 93- 67 B Cosmos 2265 r March 10 20680 74- 89 FE Thorad Delta 1 deb March 11 24481 94- 29 UE STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 14 24230 94- 29 LD STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 22 15977 85- 74 A Molniya 1-64 March? 25965 99- 62 E Glblstar 29 Soyuz r April 3 11331 79- 32 A Cosmos 1093 April 4 20919 90- 93 B Inmarsat2-F1 Delta2 r April 26 20966 90-104 A Cosmos 2106 May 8 10135 77- 61 B Cosmos 925 r July 10860 78- 45 A Cosmos 1005 July 11629 79- 99 A Cosmos 1145 August 23502 95- 8 B Cosmos 2306 r August 11268 79- 12 A Cosmos 1077 September 23941 96- 37 B TOMS r October 25123 97- 85 A Early Bird October Notes 1. Mir no longer appears in this list. Its orbit was boosted from 308 x 302 km to 324 x 302 km on January 25, and it is intended to raise to further (to 400 km?) in the next few weeks 2. The decay of #16885 (86- 57 A = Molniya 1-67) was observed as it moved north-eastwards over Western Australia. 3. Elsets for this previously classified debris object became available on 2000 January 24. 4. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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