HST Flare Prediction for 7-AUG-05

From: Gerhard HOLTKAMP (grd.holtkamp@t-online.de)
Date: Sat Jul 30 2005 - 14:09:44 EDT

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    Observers in southern U.S. States close to the 31st parallel might be able to 
    see a flare from the aft skirt (flat back side) of the Hubble Space Telescope 
    in the morning hours on 7-AUG-05 between 10:42 and 10:47 UTC. At that time 
    the HST is pointing at the planet Uranus according to the HST timeline for 
    the upcoming week. The back side points in the opposite direction and causes 
    a specular reflection of the Sun toward the following positions (times are in 
    UTC):
    
    10:42:15	30.471	-105.942	
    10:42:30	30.595	-104.824
    10:42:45	30.709	-103.702
    10:43:00	30.814	-102.578
    10:43:15	30.910	-101.450
    10:43:30	30.998	-100.319
    10:43:45	31.075	-99.185
    10:44:00	31.144	-98.048
    10:44:15	31.203	-96.909
    10:44:30	31.253	-95.767
    10:44:45	31.294	-94.622
    10:45:00	31.325	-93.475
    10:45:15	31.347	-92.326
    10:45:30	31.359	-91.175
    10:45:45	31.262	-90.022
    10:46:00	31.356	-88.866
    10:46:15	31.340	-87.709
    10:46:30	31.315	-86.550
    10:46:45	31.280	-85.390
    10:47:00	31.236	-84.227
    10:47:15	31.183	-83.064
    10:47:30	31.120	-81.898
    
    My guess is that observers at the central line could experience a mag -9 
    flare. The further away you are from this line the weaker it gets. I would 
    greatly appreciate respective observations in order to come up with a flare 
    magnitude curve.
    
    I've been checking the HST timeline for the past three weeks but this is the 
    first time that I found a flare event which happens at nighttime in an area 
    with SeeSat-L presence.
    
    Gerhard HOLTKAMP
    Darmstadt, Germany
    
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