TSS/tether / 96-12B / 23805 decay

Mike McCants (mike@comshare.com)
Sun, 3 Mar 1996 17:50:49 -0600

The most recent elset looks crazy:

1 23805U 96012B   96062.75066898  .00011831  59422-9  77606-4 0   174
2 23805  28.4530 221.7234 0059282 242.1655 104.4937 15.71978317  1394

If this 62.75 elset is correct, the tether has broken and everything
below is now quite wrong.

The drag is much too small and the mean motion is smaller than the
previous elset:

1 23805U 96012B   96062.54253819  .00554567  13054-5  36081-2 0   166
2 23805  28.4600 223.2534 0060074 242.3230   4.5459 15.72094665  1366

The predicted elsets below use the 62.54 elset, not the 62.75 elset.

I still predict re-entry on the 15th.  But of course the last few days
are very uncertain.

The checksum digits on these elements are not valid.

TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96063.00664000  .00550000  00000-0  34000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 219.8950 0053000 243.5870 116.6570 15.72610000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96064.02152000  .00600000  00000-0  35000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 212.5160 0050000 255.6050 104.6140 15.73780000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96065.03563000  .00650000  00000-0  36500-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 205.1360 0047000 267.6230  92.5700 15.75050000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96066.04887000  .00710000  00000-0  38000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 197.7570 0049920 279.6410  80.5270 15.76430000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96067.06117000  .00790000  00000-0  50000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 190.3780 0044000 291.6590  68.4840 15.77960000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96068.00926000  .00890000  00000-0  54000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 183.4190 0042000 302.9920  57.1280 15.79570000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96069.01941000  .01020000  00000-0  58000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 175.9970 0041000 315.0800  45.0150 15.81500000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96070.02823000  .01190000  00000-0  63000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 168.5740 0039000 327.1680  32.9010 15.83740000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96071.03549000  .01440000  00000-0  74000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 161.1520 0036000 339.2560  20.7870 15.86400000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96072.04086000  .01820000  00000-0  84000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 153.7290 0033000 351.3450   8.6740 15.89680000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96073.04384000  .02470000  00000-0  11000-1 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 146.3050 0029000   3.4340 357.3170 15.93960000    00

Mike McCants
mike@comshare.com