TSS/tether / 96-12B / 23805 decay

Mike McCants (mike@comshare.com)
Sun, 3 Mar 1996 19:49:17 -0600

The most recent elset has a reasonable mean motion, but a drag term
that is much too small:

1 23805U 96012B   96063.16850579  .00012262  63816-9  79316-4 0   189
2 23805  28.4544 218.6829 0059140 247.3872 309.0707 15.72302267  1467

So this indicates that there has not been a break in the tether.

I have reduced my drag coefficient by 5% and come up with:

TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96064.02156000  .00570000  00000-0  35000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 212.5160 0050000 255.6050 104.6140 15.73700000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96065.03573000  .00610000  00000-0  36500-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 205.1360 0047000 267.6230  92.5700 15.74900000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96066.04910000  .00670000  00000-0  38000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 197.7570 0046000 279.6410  80.5270 15.76210000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96067.06158000  .00740000  00000-0  50000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 190.3780 0044000 291.6590  68.4840 15.77640000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96068.00989000  .00820000  00000-0  54000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 183.4190 0043000 302.9920  57.1280 15.79130000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96069.02038000  .00930000  00000-0  58000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 175.9970 0042000 315.0800  45.0150 15.80920000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96070.02964000  .01080000  00000-0  63000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 168.5740 0040000 327.1680  32.9010 15.82950000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96071.03748000  .01280000  00000-0  74000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 161.1520 0038000 339.2560  20.7870 15.85330000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96072.04366000  .01560000  00000-0  84000-2 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 153.7290 0035000 351.3450   8.6740 15.88190000    00
TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96073.04780000  .02020000  00000-0  11000-1 0    00
2 23805  28.4651 146.3050 0031000   3.4340 357.3170 15.91790000    00

This is about 5 minutes later after a week compared to my post
of an hour or so ago.  There is still about that much uncertainty
(if not more) in the prediction.

Mike McCants
mike@comshare.com