TSS decay prediction

Mike McCants (mike@comshare.com)
Mon, 18 Mar 1996 18:36:42 -0600

Here are the most recent elsets from OIG:

TSS/tether
1 23805U 96012B   96077.08770769  .01843382  18694-2  43333-2 0   795
2 23805  28.4740 116.1752 0031182  59.9497 300.4138 15.95205582  3673
1 23805U 96012B   96077.46282432 +.02373500 +38702-2 +52134-2 0 00985
2 23805 028.4771 113.3544 0030474 066.5686 293.8131 15.96958132003734
1 23805U 96012B   96078.14941130 +.02738026 +67659-2 +51309-2 0 00904
2 23805 028.4769 108.1576 0026572 076.1855 284.2211 16.00653673003840
1 23805U 96012B   96078.27404442  .02932343  90871-2  54136-2 0   842
2 23805  28.4742 107.2172 0025119  74.7808 285.5625 16.01538841  3866
1 23805U 96012B   96078.46087118  .03128032  13387-1  56511-2 0   859
2 23805  28.4740 105.7892 0024831  83.4788 276.8633 16.02948110  3890

I am now predicting decay for March 19.9 (+/- 3 hours)

This is unfavorable for the US.

However, my drag program has consistently predicted a re-entry
sooner than what will occur.  So there is a chance it may still
be up as late as March 20.3.  There would be a pass over Florida
at March 20.21 = March 20 at 5:00UT.

Mike McCants
mike@comshare.com