Decays have been postponed again... --------------------------------------------------------------------- Object: #23863 = 96- 29 G = NOSS 2-3 Titan r Decay prediction: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SpaceCom Mar 6 07:16 Mar 10 06:14 +-2d 3.1 S 92.0 E SpaceCom Mar 9 00:53 Mar 11 14:31 +-2d 9.5 N 45.6 W SpaceCom Mar 9 19:40 Mar 11 14:56 +-1d 63.0 S 31.4 E SpaceCom Mar 11 10:18 Mar 12 09:35 +-14h 0.3 N 28.9 E SatEvo Mar 4 20:15 Mar 10 09:12 +-1.5d 0 44.4 E SatEvo Mar 6 18:00 Mar 9 21:23 +-16h 0 135.8 E SatEvo Mar 8 19:00 Mar 11 12:49 +-18h 54.7 N 60.2 W SatEvo Mar 9 22:20 Mar 12 01:33 +-14h 0 29.3 W SatEvo Mar 10 23:35 Mar 11 22:36 +-6h 0 37.5 E SatEvo Mar 11 20:00 Mar 12 07:54 +-4h 42.4 N 27.1 E Latest elset: NOSS 2-3 r 9.8 3.0 0.0 4.8 v 162 x 154 km 1 23863U 96029G 99070.63974309 .04190393 00000-0 18505-3 0 592 2 23863 63.3906 164.9443 0006026 359.8924 0.2735 16.43028532 74772 SatEvo predicted elsets: NOSS 2-3 r 9.8 3.0 0.0 4.8 v 154 x 148 km 1 23863U 96029G 99070.88298889 .06796294 46997-1 17290-3 0 90590 2 23863 63.3898 163.9463 0005055 359.8959 0.1040 16.45667142 74813 NOSS 2-3 r 9.8 3.0 0.0 4.8 v 149 x 143 km 1 23863U 96029G 99071.00445295 .09143297 87471-1 16214-3 0 90599 2 23863 63.3892 163.4463 0004407 359.8977 0.1022 16.47573969 74839 NOSS 2-3 r 9.8 3.0 0.0 4.8 v 141 x 136 km 1 23863U 96029G 99071.12575044 .13733909 18110+0 15264-3 0 90594 2 23863 63.3883 162.9454 0003554 359.8995 0.1004 16.50278262 74859 NOSS 2-3 r 9.8 3.0 0.0 4.8 v 129 x 126 km 1 23863U 96029G 99071.24679624 .26555027 86611+0 15046-3 0 90592 2 23863 63.3871 162.4430 0002342 359.9013 0.0986 16.54701890 74873 NOSS 2-3 r 9.8 3.0 0.0 4.8 v 114 x 112 km 1 23863U 96029G 99071.30715178 .88684259 11433+2 25145-3 0 90595 2 23863 63.3859 162.1909 0001209 359.9023 0.0977 16.59998287 74883 Note: The latest elset shows this running 48 seconds late on yesterday's prediction. --------------------------------------------------------------------- Object: #25166 = 98- 8 E = Globalstar 1 Delta r Decay prediction: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SpaceCom Mar 9 20:05 Mar 16 07:53 +-4d 12.6 N 7.3 E SatEvo Mar 9 23:05 Mar 16 12:16 +-2.5d SatEvo Mar 10 23:20 Mar 15 21:30 +-1.5d SatEvo Mar 11 20:25 Mar 16 00:28 +-1.4d Latest two elsets (see note): Gblstr 1 Dlt r 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 326 x 185 km 1 25166U 98008E 99070.45052589 .01613323 00000-0 88504-3 0 4855 2 25166 52.6656 314.3809 0106544 359.0228 1.1311 16.06795523 58373 Gblstr 1 Dlt r 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 330 x 181 km 1 25166U 98008E 99070.57501002 .01487866 00000-0 72671-3 0 4867 2 25166 52.6666 313.7069 0112863 0.1248 0.0526 16.06904348 58397 Note: The latest elset looks very suspect to me, unless something odd has happened to the rocket. Elsets over the previous 1.5 days agree with a fitted SatEvo evolution to within 0.5 second; the latest elset has it running an unlikely 10 seconds late after only two orbits. --------------------------------------------------------------------- Object: #25472 = 98- 51 F = Iridium 82 Delta r Decay prediction: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SatEvo Mar 9 22:45 Mar 15 12:33 +-2d SatEvo Mar 10 23:45 Mar 14 23:57 +-1d SatEvo Mar 11 20:30 Mar 15 02:10 +-1d Latest elset: Iridm 82 Delta r 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.6 d 256 x 214 km 1 25472U 98051F 99070.36351542 .01386599 -12957-5 10175-2 0 2739 2 25472 83.4039 196.3056 0031647 354.4231 5.6699 16.14411433 28746 --------------------------------------------------------------------- Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/