Decay watch: Mar 16 (another Delta down)

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Tue, 16 Mar 1999 20:55:27 +0000

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Object: #25166 = 98-  8 E = Globalstar 1 Delta r

Decay prediction:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Mar  9 20:05     Mar 16 07:53 +-4d        12.6 N     7.3 E
SpaceCom   Mar 12 07:25     Mar 16 02:38 +-2d         3.6 N   105.1 W
SpaceCom   Mar 13 09:27     Mar 16 09:56 +-2d        20.8 N   129.4 E
SpaceCom   Mar 14 11:00     Mar 16 11:28 +-1d         6.4 N   117.7 E
SpaceCom   Mar 15 07:41     Mar 16 06:40 +-15h       50.3 N    82.7 E
SpaceCom   Mar 15 17:24     Mar 16 05:15 +-7h        52.3 N   118.3 E
SpaceCom   Mar 15 23:57     Mar 16 06:27 +-4h        15.9 N    32.1 E
SpaceCom   Mar 16 04:07     Mar 16 06:34 +-2h        37.3 N    53.1 E
SpaceCom   Mar 16 15:54     Mar 16 06:40 +-2h        50.2 N    82.2 E

SatEvo     Mar  9 23:05     Mar 16 12:16 +-2.5d
SatEvo     Mar 10 23:20     Mar 15 21:30 +-1.5d
SatEvo     Mar 11 20:25     Mar 16 00:28 +-1.4d
SatEvo     Mar 12 16:50     Mar 16 01:53 +-18h
SatEvo     Mar 14 17:45     Mar 16 03:58 +-12h       24.9 N   144.3 W
SatEvo     Mar 15 21:20     Mar 16 04:58 +-3h        25.4 N    62.1 E
SatEvo     Mar 16 20:30     Mar 16 06:18 +-2h         0        20.6 E

Final elset:
Gblstr 1 Dlt r   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v            170 x 142 km
1 25166U 98008E   99075.08059352  .14248860  12842-4  36274-3 0  5172
2 25166  52.6615 289.5733 0021545   8.0362 352.1187 16.43565764 59121

Note: The final elset had it 8.5 seconds late on yesterday's prediction.
I put its decay near a northbound equator crossing over Congo. SpaceCom
have it further along on the same orbit, which is three orbits after the
final elset.
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Object: #25607 = 99-  1 C = Mars Polar Lander Delta 2 r1

Decay prediction:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Mar 14 14:32     Mar 23 03:32 +-5d        12.3 N    67.2 W
SpaceCom   Mar 16 01:23     Mar 23 01:19 +-4d        11.5 S   149.0 E

SatEvo     Mar 15 21:20     Mar 23 01:00 +-2d
SatEvo     Mar 16 20:45     Mar 22 21:17 +-1.5d

Latest elset:
MPL Delta 2 r1   5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 d            369 x 195 km
1 25607U 99001C   99075.56048730  .01482067 -10660-4  12115-2 0  1284
2 25607  25.8232  63.8667 0130021  26.9348 333.8065 15.97306472 11159
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Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:   alan@wingar.demon.co.uk    +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:     http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/