SatEvo decay list #73

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 21 Mar 1999 21:13:08 +0000

SatEvo decay list #73  (issued 1999 March 21)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses 
is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L,
and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
Information about SeeSat-L is available at
   http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html

The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published 
orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. 
Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate 
their decay by 1999 May 15, although some larger and/or more 
interesting decayers are included beyond that date.

This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via 
my SatEvo page at
               http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all
the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus
elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle, 
and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects.


   #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (1999) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 24430   94- 29 SJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March  8
 25213   87- 68 AQ  Meteor 2-16 deb                   March 10? Note 1
 23863   96- 29 G   NOSS 2-3 r                        March 12.45
   175   61- 15 AZ  Transit 4a r deb                  March 13.2
 25472   98- 51 F   Iridium 82 Delta r                March 15.79
 25166   98-  8 E   Globalstar 1 Delta r              March 16.26
 25452   87- 68 BZ  Meteor 2-16 deb                   March 16  Note 2
 15440   84-123 B   NOAA 9 deb                        March 17
 24325   96- 49 F   FAST Pegasus deb                  March 18  Note 2
 25562   98- 71 C   SWAS Pegasus deb                  March 18  Note 2
 25659   99- 13 C   AsiaSat 3S Proton platform        March 21.57
 25426   94- 29 ADS STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 22
 25658   99- 13 B   AsiaSat 3S Proton r      March 22.6
 25607   99-  1 C   MPL Delta 2 r1           March 23.1
 24693   94- 29 ABB STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 24? Note 1
 25207   87- 68 AJ  Meteor 2-16 deb          March 25
 25212   87- 68 AP  Meteor 2-16 deb          March 26
 25565   98- 69 E   STS-88 socket            March 26
 24624   94- 29 AAC STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 27
 24141   94- 29 GQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 28
 22428   92- 93 DV  C 2227 Zenit deb         March 29
 23980   94- 29 AA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 30
 25125   97- 85 C   Earlybird 1 Start 1 deb  March 30
  8940   75-  4 W   Landsat 2 Delta 1 deb    April  1
 17551   86- 19 JF  Spot 1 Ariane deb        April  1
 25564   98- 69 D   STS-88 wire carrier      April  3
 25580   98- 74 D   Iridm 11A Smart Disp     April  3
 18154   87- 53 D   DMSP F8 deb              April  4
 20047   78- 26 HT  Landsat 3 Delta deb      April  9
 24075   94- 29 DW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April  9
  7418   74- 66 B   Cosmos 673 r             April 11
 24605   94- 29 ZH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 12
 25218   87- 68 AV  Meteor 2-16 deb          April 12
 14329   83- 94 B   Satcom 2R Delta r        April 13
 24428   94- 29 SG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 13
 25222   87- 68 AZ  Meteor 2-16 deb          April 13
 25218   87- 68 AV  Meteor 2-16 deb          April 19
 25182   87- 68 H   Meteor 2-16 deb          April 21
 22508   92- 93 GT  C 2227 Zenit deb         April 23
 24180   94- 29 JF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 23
 24319   96- 49 E   FAST Pegasus deb         April 24
   388   62- 39 D   FTV 3502 Scout r         April 27
 25188   87- 68 P   Meteor 2-16 deb          April 28
 14492   77- 65 FH  Himawari 1 Delta deb       May  1
 18744   87- 20 X   Cosmos 1823 deb            May  2
 22583   93- 17 C   GPS 2-19 r1                May  3
 25206   87- 68 AH  Meteor 2-16 deb            May  3
  8755   76- 24 B   Cosmos 808 r               May  4
 25347   98- 32 F   Iridium 70 Delta r         May  4
 24229   94- 29 LC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May  6
 12519   81- 54 E   Molniya 3-16 r2            May  7
 25245   87- 68 BN  Meteor 2-16 deb            May  7
 19532   88- 89 B   NOAA 11 deb                May  8
 24162   94- 29 HM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May  8
  8538   72- 58 GM  Landsat 1 Delta deb        May 10
  5432   70- 89 BY  Cosmos 374 deb             May 12
 20352   89- 96 A   Granat                    June  3
  4120   69- 84 B   Meteor 1-2 r              June  4
 23186   94- 43 B   APStar 1 CZ-3 r           June 10
 23558   86- 17 JE  GFZ 1                     June 13
 25496   98- 57 B   Hotbird 5 Centaur r       June
 14168   83- 65 C   Galaxy 1 PAM D r        August
 25625   99-  4 E   Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1    August
 25653   99- 12 E   Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1    August
 15076   84- 63 E   Raduga 15 aux motor    October
 24972   97- 57 B   IRS-1D r               October
 25550   98- 69 B   SAC-A                  October
 24291   96- 50 A   Microsat              November
 24832   97- 28 E   C 2344 SOZ ullage r   November
 25551   98- 69 C   MightySat             November
  1844   65-106 B   Cosmos 100 r          December

Notes

1. No recent elsets.

2. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay.


Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:   alan@wingar.demon.co.uk    +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:     http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/