SatEvo decay list #73 (issued 1999 March 21) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 May 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle, and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. # Designation Name ----- Decay (1999) ----- Predicted Actual? 24430 94- 29 SJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 8 25213 87- 68 AQ Meteor 2-16 deb March 10? Note 1 23863 96- 29 G NOSS 2-3 r March 12.45 175 61- 15 AZ Transit 4a r deb March 13.2 25472 98- 51 F Iridium 82 Delta r March 15.79 25166 98- 8 E Globalstar 1 Delta r March 16.26 25452 87- 68 BZ Meteor 2-16 deb March 16 Note 2 15440 84-123 B NOAA 9 deb March 17 24325 96- 49 F FAST Pegasus deb March 18 Note 2 25562 98- 71 C SWAS Pegasus deb March 18 Note 2 25659 99- 13 C AsiaSat 3S Proton platform March 21.57 25426 94- 29 ADS STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 22 25658 99- 13 B AsiaSat 3S Proton r March 22.6 25607 99- 1 C MPL Delta 2 r1 March 23.1 24693 94- 29 ABB STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 24? Note 1 25207 87- 68 AJ Meteor 2-16 deb March 25 25212 87- 68 AP Meteor 2-16 deb March 26 25565 98- 69 E STS-88 socket March 26 24624 94- 29 AAC STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 27 24141 94- 29 GQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 28 22428 92- 93 DV C 2227 Zenit deb March 29 23980 94- 29 AA STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 30 25125 97- 85 C Earlybird 1 Start 1 deb March 30 8940 75- 4 W Landsat 2 Delta 1 deb April 1 17551 86- 19 JF Spot 1 Ariane deb April 1 25564 98- 69 D STS-88 wire carrier April 3 25580 98- 74 D Iridm 11A Smart Disp April 3 18154 87- 53 D DMSP F8 deb April 4 20047 78- 26 HT Landsat 3 Delta deb April 9 24075 94- 29 DW STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 9 7418 74- 66 B Cosmos 673 r April 11 24605 94- 29 ZH STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 12 25218 87- 68 AV Meteor 2-16 deb April 12 14329 83- 94 B Satcom 2R Delta r April 13 24428 94- 29 SG STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 13 25222 87- 68 AZ Meteor 2-16 deb April 13 25218 87- 68 AV Meteor 2-16 deb April 19 25182 87- 68 H Meteor 2-16 deb April 21 22508 92- 93 GT C 2227 Zenit deb April 23 24180 94- 29 JF STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 23 24319 96- 49 E FAST Pegasus deb April 24 388 62- 39 D FTV 3502 Scout r April 27 25188 87- 68 P Meteor 2-16 deb April 28 14492 77- 65 FH Himawari 1 Delta deb May 1 18744 87- 20 X Cosmos 1823 deb May 2 22583 93- 17 C GPS 2-19 r1 May 3 25206 87- 68 AH Meteor 2-16 deb May 3 8755 76- 24 B Cosmos 808 r May 4 25347 98- 32 F Iridium 70 Delta r May 4 24229 94- 29 LC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 6 12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 May 7 25245 87- 68 BN Meteor 2-16 deb May 7 19532 88- 89 B NOAA 11 deb May 8 24162 94- 29 HM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 8 8538 72- 58 GM Landsat 1 Delta deb May 10 5432 70- 89 BY Cosmos 374 deb May 12 20352 89- 96 A Granat June 3 4120 69- 84 B Meteor 1-2 r June 4 23186 94- 43 B APStar 1 CZ-3 r June 10 23558 86- 17 JE GFZ 1 June 13 25496 98- 57 B Hotbird 5 Centaur r June 14168 83- 65 C Galaxy 1 PAM D r August 25625 99- 4 E Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1 August 25653 99- 12 E Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1 August 15076 84- 63 E Raduga 15 aux motor October 24972 97- 57 B IRS-1D r October 25550 98- 69 B SAC-A October 24291 96- 50 A Microsat November 24832 97- 28 E C 2344 SOZ ullage r November 25551 98- 69 C MightySat November 1844 65-106 B Cosmos 100 r December Notes 1. No recent elsets. 2. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/