Decay watch: 2000 Mar 18

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sat Mar 18 2000 - 12:03:47 PST

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    #25965 = 99- 62 E = Globalstar 29 Soyuz r1
    
    Again, from my Decay Watch page at 
             http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    
    SpaceCom   Mar 15 20:59     Mar 19 18:07 +-2d         7.4 N   171.0 W
    SpaceCom   Mar 17 05:58     Mar 19 21:04 +-2d        10.0 N   141.9 E
    SpaceCom   Mar 17 20:41     Mar 19 20:36 +-1d        38.9 N    16.0 E
    
    SatEvo     Mar 16 18:00     Mar 19 22:23 +-20h
    SatEvo     Mar 17 18:30     Mar 19 23:14 +-13h
    SatEvo     Mar 18 19:30     Mar 20 01:20 +-9h        19.4 N    67.7 E
    
    There are some opportunities for this decay to be seen from Europe on
    Sunday night.
    
    My prediction for the final orbits runs...
    
    Globlstr 29 r1   6.0  3.0  0.0  4.5 d   15       172 x 127 km
    1 25965U 99062E   00079.84814128  .22472103  28559+0  27245-3 0 92236
    2 25965  51.9389 102.6664 0034399 132.8296 227.4600 16.46004619 18229
    Globlstr 29 r1   6.0  3.0  0.0  4.5 d   15       161 x 123 km
    1 25965U 99062E   00079.90879000  .28078490  25743+0  24285-3 0 92233
    2 25965  51.9380 102.3222 0029076 133.0809 227.1627 16.49066834 18233
    Globlstr 29 r1   6.0  3.0  0.0  4.5 d   15       146 x 117 km
    1 25965U 99062E   00079.96931181  .37927144  10562+1  21642-3 0 92235
    2 25965  51.9370 101.9771 0022528 133.3329 226.8550 16.52897906 18249
    Globlstr 29 r1   6.0  3.0  0.0  4.5 d   15       122 x 107 km
    1 25965U 99062E   00080.02965099 1.03589376  26269+2  28797-3 0 92234
    2 25965  51.9353 101.6306 0012041 133.5860 226.5140 16.59527150 18253
    
    SpaceCom has it decaying while NE-bound over S Italy at 20:36 UTC while
    I place decay some orbits later while it is SE-bound over the Arabian
    Sea to the S of Pakistan. Earlier that orbit, though, it crosses Panama
    (00:46), Haiti (00:49), Wales and England (S of Birmingham at 01:04),
    Germany (01:06), S Poland (01:08), Odesa, Ukraine (01:10), and Tehran,
    Iran at 01:15 (and close to perigee).
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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