Because of other commitments, the update I have just posted to my Decay
watch page (summary below) is my last until April 1 or 2.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #19733 = 88-115 D = Molniya 1-74 r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Mar 24 00:39 Mar 27 13:49 +-2d 60.1 S 21.2 E
SatEvo Mar 27 19:40 Apr 1 05:12 +-1.6d
Latest elset:
Molniya 1-74 r2 6051 x 86 km
1 19733U 88115D 01086.58168002 .11990157 60047-5 34096-3 0 6651
2 19733 62.2759 168.5706 3157118 255.7200 67.7213 9.45593348 93600
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23029 = 94- 16 C = GPS 2-24 r2 (PAM-D)
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Mar 27 16:36 Mar 27 19:03 +-4h 2.2 S 83.9 E
SatEvo Mar 27 19:55 Mar 27 19:18 +-90m 33.8 N 152.1 E
Latest elset:
GPS 2-24 r2 3.0 1.5 0.0 6.5 d 3.1 270 x 124 km
1 23029U 94016C 01086.60856892 .31365537 17008-5 60544-3 0 2714
2 23029 34.5792 198.2593 0111104 50.6538 310.4694 16.28266647173848
Note: I show this decaying as it approached northern apex to the east
of Japan on the second of these SatEvo-predicted orbits:
GPS 2-24 r2 3.0 1.5 0.0 6.5 d 3.1 212 x 118 km
1 23029U 94016C 01086.73067762 .67703837 20063+1 73121-3 0 92710
2 23029 34.5768 197.3512 0071416 51.9716 308.6709 16.40305652173867
GPS 2-24 r2 3.0 1.5 0.0 6.5 d 3.1 154 x 108 km
1 23029U 94016C 01086.79127918 2.17507401 47040+2 95319-3 0 92710
2 23029 34.5745 196.8928 0035291 52.6368 307.6841 16.53206494173874
SpaceCom's final report, and possibly further elsets, are yet to
appear
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23951 = 96- 40 D = Arabsat 2A Spelda
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Mar 25 09:54 Mar 25 16:06 +-21h 6.7 S 135.5 W
SatEvo Mar 27 20:00 Mar 25 11:33 +-90m 6.9 S 60.6 W
Final elset:
Arabsat 2A Spelda 335 x 132 km
1 23951U 96040D 01084.31131013 .37795134 -34430-4 14671-2 0 6025
2 23951 6.8734 35.1639 0153812 233.5598 107.4592 16.14861291 73032
Note: I show this decaying over Brazil of the second of these
SatEvo-predicted orbits:
Arabsat 2A Spelda 284 x 122 km
1 23951U 96040D 01084.37584963 .78601277 16121+1 14764-2 0 96020
2 23951 6.8730 34.5950 0123147 234.6854 124.1569 16.25983202 73042
Arabsat 2A Spelda 223 x 118 km
1 23951U 96040D 01084.43702226 1.37249209 76077+1 15468-2 0 96028
2 23951 6.8725 34.0478 0080695 235.7679 123.4649 16.38286068 73055
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25013 = 97- 63 A = STEP M4
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Mar 27 17:08 Mar 31 11:00 +-2d 45.0 S 67.0 E
SatEvo Mar 27 20:10 Mar 31 07:12 +-1d
Latest elset:
STEP M4 1.5 0.0 0.0 7.0 d 1.3 219 x 203 km
1 25013U 97063A 01086.49572686 .01563529 10160-4 58820-3 0 8019
2 25013 44.9402 176.7034 0011730 5.2748 354.8338 16.23239616193952
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page
Note: This enters eclipse as it turns northbound near 45 deg S in the
evening sky and leaves eclipse near 41 deg N as it moves northwards
before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Mar 27 2001 - 12:24:21 PST