Apologies if this is a repeat message!
This Molnija rocket is visible on three transits tonight (March 29/30), from
the UK at least, so in Alan Pickup's absence I've fitted n and ndot to the
last six elsets from OIG, and run SatEvo. Here are the results:
The latest elset from OIG is:
SL-6 R/B(2)
1 19733U 88115D 01088.47476524 .37329398 66987-5 80439-3 0 6823
2 19733 62.3207 165.4660 2568851 256.2053 74.4444 10.70326902 93796
but I believe ndot should be nearer .35229239 and e little larger.
Anyway good luck
David.
-----------------------------
SatEvo v0.29
by Alan Pickup
alan@wingar.demon.co.uk
-----------------------------
Element evolution for object 88115D
Predicted decay after 3.5340 days on date = 01092.0087 (2001 April 2)
Uses Q-factor of 1.000000
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 4546 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01088.47461937 .35301290 22109-1 15494-2 0 96814
2 19733 62.3207 165.4348 2554932 256.2050 74.3239 10.69654140 93776
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 4475 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01088.56790942 .35932439 23088-1 15581-2 0 96814
2 19733 62.3160 165.2672 2524130 256.2193 74.6737 10.76299095 93786
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 4403 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01088.66062279 .36589065 24149-1 15673-2 0 96815
2 19733 62.3113 165.0988 2493029 256.2336 75.0282 10.83022336 93794
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 4331 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01088.75275979 .37272847 25290-1 15768-2 0 96819
2 19733 62.3066 164.9295 2461617 256.2482 75.3827 10.89827254 93808
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 4259 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01088.84432064 .37985621 26519-1 15869-2 0 96817
2 19733 62.3018 164.7594 2429877 256.2628 75.7427 10.96717461 93816
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 4187 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01088.93530533 .38729418 27999-1 15975-2 0 96819
2 19733 62.2958 164.5883 2397795 256.2777 76.1047 11.03696802 93823
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 4114 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01089.02571370 .39506396 29447-1 16087-2 0 96818
2 19733 62.2908 164.4163 2365352 256.2926 76.4720 11.10769387 93837
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 4042 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01089.11554536 .40318943 31017-1 16204-2 0 96811
2 19733 62.2858 164.2433 2332532 256.3077 76.8434 11.17939603 93845
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3969 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01089.20479974 .41169697 32724-1 16328-2 0 96817
2 19733 62.2807 164.0694 2299315 256.3230 77.2206 11.25212157 93858
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3896 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01089.29347605 .42061643 34371-1 16459-2 0 96819
2 19733 62.2767 163.8945 2265680 256.3384 77.6018 11.32592094 93862
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3822 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01089.38157326 .42997976 36386-1 16597-2 0 96816
2 19733 62.2714 163.7186 2231606 256.3539 77.9870 11.40084841 93878
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3748 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01089.46909011 .43982254 38594-1 16743-2 0 96811
2 19733 62.2661 163.5417 2197069 256.3696 78.3782 11.47696251 93881
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3674 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01089.55602509 .45018432 41024-1 16896-2 0 96814
2 19733 62.2607 163.3638 2162043 256.3855 78.7730 11.55432638 93899
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3599 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01089.64237643 .46111119 43394-1 17058-2 0 96817
2 19733 62.2564 163.1848 2126500 256.4016 79.1747 11.63300845 93908
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3524 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01089.72814204 .47265248 46330-1 17230-2 0 96819
2 19733 62.2508 163.0046 2090410 256.4178 79.5823 11.71308294 93919
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3449 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01089.81331955 .48486368 49215-1 17411-2 0 96811
2 19733 62.2463 162.8234 2053742 256.4341 79.9960 11.79463063 93925
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3373 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01089.89790624 .49781052 52816-1 17604-2 0 96815
2 19733 62.2405 162.6410 2016457 256.4507 80.4166 11.87773967 93933
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3296 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01089.98189905 .51041433 48100-1 17768-2 0 96816
2 19733 62.2358 162.4575 1978543 256.4674 80.8440 11.96245263 93940
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3219 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01090.06529548 .52288184 51734-1 17912-2 0 96813
2 19733 62.2299 162.2727 1940072 256.4843 81.2774 12.04861421 93951
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3141 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01090.14809401 .53614166 55352-1 18069-2 0 96819
2 19733 62.2250 162.0867 1901019 256.5014 81.7176 12.13628703 93966
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 3063 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01090.23029271 .55027525 59398-1 18237-2 0 96818
2 19733 62.2201 161.8994 1861344 256.5187 82.1657 12.22557498 93979
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 2985 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01090.31188922 .56538019 63943-1 18418-2 0 96814
2 19733 62.2151 161.7108 1821000 256.5361 82.6181 12.31659303 93984
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 2906 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01090.39288072 .58156972 69078-1 18614-2 0 96818
2 19733 62.2099 161.5209 1779935 256.5538 83.0800 12.40946911 93998
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 2826 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01090.47326385 .59897596 74914-1 18826-2 0 96812
2 19733 62.2047 161.3296 1738090 256.5717 83.5503 12.50434609 94006
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 2745 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01090.55303465 .61775413 81590-1 19057-2 0 96816
2 19733 62.1993 161.1369 1695401 256.5897 84.0299 12.60138439 94013
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 2664 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01090.63218851 .63808788 89284-1 19308-2 0 96810
2 19733 62.1939 160.9427 1651795 256.6080 84.5195 12.70076518 94029
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 2581 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01090.71072009 .66019619 98222-1 19581-2 0 96817
2 19733 62.1882 160.7469 1607189 256.6265 85.0218 12.80269423 94036
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 2498 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01090.78862320 .68434234 10870+0 19880-2 0 96816
2 19733 62.1825 160.5497 1561488 256.6453 85.5330 12.90740678 94040
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 2413 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01090.86589075 .71084582 12112+0 20206-2 0 96814
2 19733 62.1765 160.3508 1514584 256.6643 86.0585 13.01517398 94053
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 2326 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01090.94251459 .74011112 13398+0 20568-2 0 96815
2 19733 62.1719 160.1502 1466347 256.6835 86.5994 13.12631073 94069
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 2238 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.01848528 .77262956 15161+0 20969-2 0 96815
2 19733 62.1656 159.9478 1416629 256.7030 87.1565 13.24118611 94076
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 2149 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.09379196 .80901783 17033+0 21411-2 0 96818
2 19733 62.1606 159.7436 1365260 256.7227 87.7317 13.36023751 94080
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 2057 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.16842206 .85010533 19677+0 21912-2 0 96814
2 19733 62.1538 159.5374 1312018 256.7427 88.3277 13.48398918 94094
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 1962 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.24236096 .89692489 22581+0 22473-2 0 96818
2 19733 62.1484 159.3292 1256657 256.7630 88.9496 13.61307838 94100
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 1865 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.31559149 .95090048 26851+0 23109-2 0 96814
2 19733 62.1410 159.1188 1198859 256.7837 89.5935 13.74829176 94113
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 1764 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.38809355 1.01401211 31776+0 23848-2 0 96816
2 19733 62.1350 158.9062 1138215 256.8046 90.2713 13.89061957 94122
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 1659 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.45984301 1.08900084 38347+0 24705-2 0 96812
2 19733 62.1287 158.6910 1074227 256.8259 90.9876 14.04133566 94130
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 1550 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.53081078 1.17995972 47434+0 25717-2 0 96811
2 19733 62.1219 158.4733 1006215 256.8475 91.7480 14.20212448 94144
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 1434 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.60096165 1.27530979 49889+0 26571-2 0 96810
2 19733 62.1147 158.2526 0933715 256.8696 92.5578 14.37419709 94155
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 1313 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.67025947 1.39447592 65485+0 27607-2 0 96819
2 19733 62.1070 158.0288 0856239 256.8921 93.4224 14.55883260 94165
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 1184 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.73866133 1.55265550 91185+0 28955-2 0 96819
2 19733 62.0986 157.8016 0772267 256.9151 94.3590 14.75983342 94171
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 1044 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.80610854 1.77666098 13777+1 30790-2 0 96812
2 19733 62.0892 157.5705 0679341 256.9386 95.3954 14.98337400 94187
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 888 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.87251634 2.11866283 21863+1 33400-2 0 96819
2 19733 62.0816 157.3348 0573161 256.9627 96.5798 15.24010958 94191
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 702 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01091.93775393 2.81632210 59810+1 38628-2 0 96817
2 19733 62.0688 157.0937 0443942 256.9876 98.0171 15.55444664 94201
Molniya 1-74 r2 OIG 5.3 v 431 x 100 km
1 19733U 88115D 01092.00155569 5.49179311 32663+2 54352-2 0 96818
2 19733 62.0558 156.8446 0249083 257.0136 100.1945 16.03376106 94214
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Mar 29 2001 - 05:53:15 PST