Decay watch: 2002 March 16

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sat Mar 16 2002 - 18:14:04 EST

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    A summary of today's updates to my Decay Watch page. See the page for 
    predicted elsets for Cosmos 1658 rocket
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #15811 = 85- 45 D = Cosmos 1658 r
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Mar 16 12:37     Mar 18 10:53 +-1d        57.3 S    10.7 E
    SatEvo     Mar 16 23:00     Mar 18 13:56 +-13h
    
    Latest elset:
    Cosmos 1658 r                                    1982 x 88 km
    1 15811U 85045D   02075.90587800  .42050347  13561-4  61425-3 0  8039
    2 15811  62.5956  47.5865 1277423 248.3693 220.3666 13.60147254 61024
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #23742 = 95- 69 B = Galaxy 3R Atlas 2A Centaur rocket
    
    Final decay analyses:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Mar 16 03:33     Mar 16 03:24 +-7m         4.0 N   128.0 E
    SatEvo     Mar 16 17:45     Mar 16 03:45 +-15m       26.7 N   154.4 W
    
    Final elset:
    Galaxy 3R Centaur r                              323 x 116 km
    1 23742U 95069B   02075.01885504  .85649296 -96498-5  13102-2 0  3008
    2 23742  26.5645 345.1868 0156813  65.7133 298.0873 16.19934909 96016
    
    Note: The final elset has it running only 3 sec early against the
    prediction I posted yesterday. I show this decaying eastbound to the
    N of the Hawaiian Islands, not westbound as I said yesterday.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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