The #13985 decay

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Fri Oct 19 2001 - 07:33:00 EDT

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    Report time 11:00 UTC
    1983-030B (#13895) Delta RB 1
    
    Very late yesterday (UTC) appeared a FINAL REPORT from SPACECOM -
    prepared Oct 18, 10:42 UTC - and showed very surprisingly this decay:
         18 October, 10:04 UTC +/-07 minutes (07.8°S, 140.8°E)
    on a descending pass over the Torres Street. Tony Beresford informs me
    about observations from the northern tip of Australia
    (Thursday Island). It seems they agree very well with this
    prediction.
    The last released ELSET has the epoch 02:34 UTC. SPACECOM and my  
    own forecast (2 HOURS BEFORE DECAY) delivered in exellent agreement
    10:32 and 10:33 UTC for the decay. The earlier real time reentry was not
    predictable. I suppose SPACECOM have "seen" the reentry from
    the ground or from orbit with a DSP satellite. An indication for
    this assumption is the fact that SPACECOM has not given the usual
    "TRAJECTORY PRIOR DECAY" in its FINAL REPORT.
    
    Harro
    
    Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
    Berlin, Germany
    
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