FSW-3 rocket decay

From: Robert Holdsworth (robbonz1@xtra.co.nz)
Date: Sat Oct 09 2004 - 08:52:55 EDT

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    28425 04-039B  which is the Long March rocket from FSW-3 launch is predicted
    to decay today our time (early Sunday UTC.)
    
    At this stage it appears the possibility of decay in this region cannot be
    eliminated, and that if it does it is most likely to be in daylight or, if
    it survives longer than expected, we may get an eclipsed pass here. However
    weather conditions here are likely to be bad with a depression and frontal
    system expected.
    
    It would appear particularly advisable for observers in Australia and New
    Zealand  to monitor TLEs - owing to other commitments I will be unable to
    monitor near-decay predictions here unless decay is later than expected.
    
    Could someone please clarify the rather confusing situation with the recent
    FSW-3 satellite(s) and rocket(s), and whether any of this is due to catalog
    number changes? (NB it appears that the correct reference for FSW-3
    concerning flashing should be 28402 not 28042..)
    
    
    
    Robert Holdsworth
    Wainuiomata
    New Zealand
    41.261S
    174.948E
    103 m
    UTC plus 13 (New Zealand Daylight Time.)
    
    
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